There are two English Premier League matches taking place on Sunday and we take a look at each of them from a betting angle.
Heading into the weekend Arsenal are the 13/20 favourites to win the English Premier League Title with Manchester City the only other realistic runners at 13/10.
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West Ham v Southampton – Click here to bet
This is the typical relegation 6 pointer with West Ham currently sitting 18th, 1 point ahead of Southampton in 20th and last place.
The Hammers have only won 1 of their last 6 games and last time out drew 1-1 at home to Aston Villa. Overall at home this season they have played 13, winning 5 and drawing 3, but they are undefeated in their last 4 home games.
Southampton won 1 of their last 5 matches and they have only taken 2 points from the last 9 they have played for. They did get a valuable point at home to Tottenham last time out drawing 3-3 and they have won 4 and drawn 1 of their 14 away matches this season.
Digging deeper into the goal stats of the sides West Ham’s home matches have seen over 2.5 goal backers collect profits in just 3 of 13 games while if you had been backing over 2.5 goals in Southampton away matches you would have collected in 7 of the 14 matches which given the way this market is priced in the English Premier League would have had you running at a loss.
These sides drew 1-1 at Southampton earlier in the season and Southampton won this fixture 3-2 last season.
It is hard to back either of these sides with much confidence, but I do think the draw offers value here at 27/10 as 3 of the last 6 meetings between the sides had finished with the teams sharing the points.
Suggested Bet: The draw at 27/10
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Newcastle United v Manchester United – Click here to bet
Newcastle are 5th on the log following back-to-back victories away at Nottingham and at home to Wolves. Prior to that they had gone 5 games without a win. They have won 7 and drawn 5 of their 13 home matches and their only defeat did come in their penultimate home game when they lost 2-0 to Liverpool.
Manchester United are 3rd on the log, but have lost momentum with a draw to Southampton at home and a 7-0 away loss to Liverpool in their last 2 starts. United have lost 5 times in 13 away games this season including 2 of their last 3.
Newcastle home games have been something of a graveyard for over 2.5 goal backers with just 4 of the 13 matches reaching the 3 goal mark. Manchester United away games would have been slightly more profitable with 7 of the 13 matches beating the over 2.5 goal line.
These sides played out to a goalless draw at Manchester United earlier in the season and I think we could be in for another low scoring affair here.
Suggested Bet: Under 2.5 goals at 9/10
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
